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Thread: 22LR Carry
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May 8th, 2021, 10:53 AM #151
Re: 22LR Carry
A couple of observations -
You made demands on how people were supposed to post in "your" thread. You're not the thread owner, you don't get to dictate the rules. You create a thread, set it free into the wild, and it becomes a living thing beyond your control.
You present your conclusions as irrefutable fact because you think they're supported by one single set of data. Your conclusions are not fact, they're only your opinions, and my conclusions are only my opinions. One of my biggest problems with your data is the nature of the study, mixing police and civilian data. Statistically speaking, that's very risky. The bedrock of your argument is the data for one-shot stops. Are you aware that LEOs aren't trained to take a single shot? They are trained to shoot until the threat is eliminated, and not one shot more. I like the advice of one respected trainer of mine - "Shoot till the shape of your target changes." You're an engineer, think about that for a moment. You say .22 stops more attacks with a single shot, but the largest population of large-bore shooters are trained to take more than one shot. Certainly you can understand how that training would skew the one-shot statistic.
So tone down the arrogance. I don't have all of the answers, you don't have all of the answers. It's all opinion, and opinions are like assholes, they all stink. Except mine, not so much.
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May 8th, 2021, 11:23 AM #152
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May 8th, 2021, 01:02 PM #153
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May 8th, 2021, 02:43 PM #154
Re: 22LR Carry
From my reformed self, let's agree to disagree... I was wrong to name-call you, I am sorry for that but not my arguments.
I would say that the bedrock of my argument is that caliber (handgun) in an SD role might not matter as much as everyone says it does, and I would say that the only data that I have found to help evaluate that is the one cited.
Yoder snuck in a good post #136 a little while back that said in Boston from 2010 to 2015, there were 221 gun homicides; research suggests that one change could have lowered that number by 40 percent: smaller bullets.
He goes on to cite a study that was published on the JAMA Network Open that I have been searching for but can't find yet. Hoping to expand the archive of information to further assess.
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May 8th, 2021, 02:50 PM #155
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May 8th, 2021, 02:53 PM #156
Re: 22LR Carry
I found the study!!! here it is... https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...?resultClick=1
also found another interesting one but not 22... the conclusion stated, "Inexpensive, short-barreled.25-caliber handguns were the most common weapon type associated with firearm homicides and suicides in Milwaukee during 1990 through 1994"
here is that study: https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...?resultClick=1
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May 8th, 2021, 03:25 PM #157Member
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Re: 22LR Carry
Interesting results here. The conclusions drawn on this support what most if not all have been saying.
The results here support the view that the intrinsic power and lethality of the weapon had a direct effect on the likelihood that a victim of a criminal shooting died. For Boston, in the period studied here, simply replacing larger-caliber guns with small-caliber guns with no change in location or number of wounds would have reduced the gun homicide rate by 39.5%.
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May 8th, 2021, 04:08 PM #158
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May 8th, 2021, 07:32 PM #159
Re: 22LR Carry
Wait, what? Fine, scratch the word "bedrock". Still, one of your main arguments was .22 was better at stopping a gunfight in one shot. I just pointed out how LEO training skews the one-shot data because they're not trained to take a single shot, and you just "agree to disagree"? You only want to discuss the data when it supports your conclusions, but if it doesn't, then never mind?
OK. Got it.
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May 8th, 2021, 09:07 PM #160
Re: 22LR Carry
i never said 22 is better at one stop shots, never.
the data said that and i actually said i agree that it is hard to believe but it is documented and most of this thread i have been asking again and again for more actual data to evaluate it against - rather than one-liners... but smarty one-liners kept coming, not the data.
then - finally - yoder posted that a study might be found on JAMA; and in typical fashion only i took the time to find it and post it for further discussion. it refutes - does not defeat - ellifritz's data... im trying restraint here but you do not at all read what i actually write.
the LEO data does not at all skew the data... their numbers are included, are you saying that somehow the first shot from a cop's gun doesnt count or that they are trained to shoot extremities first and then head/torso? because that would be the ONLY way their inclusion would skew the data.
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