Quote:
Originally Posted by JBurton57
Where do those numbers come from? I'm sorry, but that sounds impossible to believe.
Look at a reality check: The current population of the United States is about 304 million, of which over 20% is under the age of 15. For the sake of simplicity let us assume that these people have difficulty obtaining firearms and/or did not fire them defensively.
This leaves approximately 240 million people in the US. If we assume that every one of those people has equal access to a firearm (simply not true, but let's assume it for the sake of simplicity), then just over 1% of the total population would be involved in a self-defensive shooting incident every year.
1% doesn't sound like a lot, but it is. This site has about 9,000 members. That's not an extremely large number to generalize to the population, but following the 1% figure, it'd be logical to predict that approximately 90 people on this site would be involved in a defensive firearm shooting every year. Assuming shootings take place regularly throughout the year, then there should be about 8 incidents per month. That's 2 per week.
I think it's safe to assume that if a member of this forum were involved in a defensive shooting, he/she would start a thread about it. The forum should be full of them.
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You rely on a false assumption, that a "defensive use of a firearm" means a shooting of a bad guy by a good guy. That's not the case at all.
John Lott's respected survey found that "guns are used defensively by private citizens in the U.S. anywhere from 1.5 to 3.4 million times a year". That means that someone was threatened, a gun was displayed and/or fired, and the perp was deterred.
The law-abiding are reluctant to shoot other people. The law requires us to use the least amount of force necessary to end the threat. That very often means displaying a firearm in response to criminal attempts. A rapist trying to pull a woman into his van will generally stop as soon as he finds that she's armed. Same for a robber who just wants your wallet, or someone trying to break into the home of an elderly couple. As soon as the sheep show some fangs, the wolf will flee. Criminals are not usually willing to risk death for chance of cash or plunder.
It's a common false premise of the anti-gunners, comparing "shooting deaths" caused by criminals to "shooting deaths" in self-defense, then concluding that you have little chance of defending yourself with a gun. MOST self-defense uses of firearms do not end in shootings, much less fatalities, because crooks are cowardly punks who will be deterred by the display of a gun.
Citizens tend to resist having wrong done to them, so they sometimes get shot while resisting the crime. They don't have the easy choice of just giving up and fleeing. If a woman gives up she might be raped. If a clerk gives up he might be taken into a back room and executed anyway. Robbers and rapists can give up, cease their criminal attempts, and try again tomorrow, no harm done. Crime victims face harder choices and are harder to defeat with a simple display of a gun.
The law recognizes that "using" a firearm during the commission of a crime does not require pulling the trigger, and we're smart enough to understand that "using" a firearm in self-defense follows the same rules.
As for the numbers, if 1% of the populace uses a firearm defensively in any given year, that's the same as saying that each person is likely to use a firearm defensively one time in a hundred years. That doesn't sound out of line to me, especially since it's an average, and some people live in high crime areas and will rely on firearms to repel intruders and muggers a dozen times over their lifetimes.